SUZANNE MALONEY, fellow at the Brookings’ Saban Center for Middle East Policy examines the forces that have conspired to keep Washington and Teheran trapped in conflict, and offered a forecast on the future evolution of the standoff in the wake of epic change unfolding across the Middle East.
In her article for Institut français des relations internationales (IFRI), "Tehran and Washington: A Motionless Relationship?", she states that although Washington has relied heavily on economic sanctions to influence Iran's policies and options, it also experimented with a variety of tactics ranging all the way from back-channel inducements to undeclared warfare depending on cyclical changes in the philosophical, partisan and practical considerations that shaped its approach to Iran.
She states that Iran's oil revenues insulated the Iranian regime, allowed it to exploit the sanctions and also allowed Beijing an uncontested access to Iran's energy sector with Beijing now indispensable in influencing Teheran. She concludes that the current U.S. approach while having impeded Iran's most problematic policies, hadn't altered the regime's political calculus and intensified the Iranian threat.
In her article for Institut français des relations internationales (IFRI), "Tehran and Washington: A Motionless Relationship?", she states that although Washington has relied heavily on economic sanctions to influence Iran's policies and options, it also experimented with a variety of tactics ranging all the way from back-channel inducements to undeclared warfare depending on cyclical changes in the philosophical, partisan and practical considerations that shaped its approach to Iran.
She states that Iran's oil revenues insulated the Iranian regime, allowed it to exploit the sanctions and also allowed Beijing an uncontested access to Iran's energy sector with Beijing now indispensable in influencing Teheran. She concludes that the current U.S. approach while having impeded Iran's most problematic policies, hadn't altered the regime's political calculus and intensified the Iranian threat.
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