WANG FENG, director at Brookings-Tsinghua center examines China's demographic transition, role of the Chinese state as am accelerator of transition and highlights a few key unique features of China's demographic future based on a few scenarios.
In an article in the Population and Development Review, "The Future of a Demographic Overachiever: Long-Term Implications of the Demographic Transition in China", he puts in perspective China's demographic transition starting from a state of high-mortality and high-fertility to a state of low-mortality coupled with low-fertility in a span of 50 years which is unprecedented in history.
He concludes that China had to be prepared to pay the costs of rapid transition such as a shrinkage of inexpensive labour force that powered China to its position as the world's factory, and a reversal of the one-child policy was unlikely to result in a substantial increase in fertility.
In an article in the Population and Development Review, "The Future of a Demographic Overachiever: Long-Term Implications of the Demographic Transition in China", he puts in perspective China's demographic transition starting from a state of high-mortality and high-fertility to a state of low-mortality coupled with low-fertility in a span of 50 years which is unprecedented in history.
He concludes that China had to be prepared to pay the costs of rapid transition such as a shrinkage of inexpensive labour force that powered China to its position as the world's factory, and a reversal of the one-child policy was unlikely to result in a substantial increase in fertility.
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