AARON MANNES and V.S. SUBRAHMANIAN of the University of Maryland claim that policymakers could build computer models to analyze and predict behaviors of insurgent groups in complex geopolitical situations such as the Middle East. In an article in Foreign Policy, "Calculated Terror - How a computer model predicts the future in some of the world's most volatile hotspots", they state that models could be built using historical data to not only predict the actions of insurgent groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas but also provide insight into their behavior and priorities.
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